One of things that I love doing on my all too infrequent trips to Washington, DC; along with networking, kicking Rethugs to the curb whenever possible, is being able to pick up “Roll Call” and “The Hill” for free. One of the articles in the 1/4/06 edition of “Roll Call” was an article from Rep. Tom Cole, the new head of the RCCC. One of the things that he said was that the RCCC had a debt of around $16 million and that was more than they had realized previously (SNARK WARNING) couldn’t have happened to a nicer group of gals and guys. He also talks about 60 congressional districts that president bush carried twice that are currently help by Democrats. I won’t bother you with 39 of them, because they are held by long term, incumbent dedmocrats with large voting percentages. But there are 21 districts; held by Democrats, who won with under 55%. The list is as follows:
TX 22nd Nick Lampson 52%
PA 10th Christopher Carney 53%
IA 9th Baron Hill 50%
KS 2nd Nancy Boyda 51%
LA 3rd Charlie Melancon 55%
NC 11th Heath Schuler 54%
IL 8th Melissa Bean 51%
IN 2nd Joe Donnelly 54%
GA 8th Jim Marshall 51%
WI 8th Steve Kagen 51%
AZ 5th Harry Mitchell 51%
CA 11th Jerry McNerney 53%
FL 16th Tim Mahoney 49%
NY 19th John Hall 51%
PA 4TH Jason Altmire 52%
AZ 8th Gabrielle Giffords 54%
NY 24th Michael Acuri 54%
MN 1st Tim Walz 53%
NH 1st Carol Shea-Porter 52%
IA 3rd Lenoard Boswell 52%
OR 5th Darlene Hooley 54%
These are prime cases of defense first along with the districts that Kerry took in 2004 that have elected rethugs.
posted a diary that ranks seats by vulnerability. according to my list, which is based on pvi, 2004 incumbent or party performance and 2006 incumbent performance, the following democratic seats are the most vulnerable:
1 WI-08 (KAGEN-D) R+4
2 KS-02 (BOYDA-D) R+7
3 IN-09 (HILL-D) R+7
4 FL-16 (MAHONEY-D) R+2
5 PA-10 (CARNEY-D) R+8
6 AZ-05 (MITCHELL-D) R+4
7 TX-22 (LAMPSON-D) R+15
8 NY-19 (HALL-D) R+1
10 IL-08 (BEAN-D) R+5
11 TX-23 (RODRIGUEZ-D) R+4
12 PA-04 (ALTMIRE-D) R+3
13 NY-20 (GILLIBRAND-D) R+3
14 NC-11 (SCHULER-D) R+7
17 CA-11 (McNERNEY-D) R+3
19 MN-01 (WALZ-D) R+1
21 IN-02 (DONNELLY-D) R+4
I list sixteen, as Republicans need sixteen seats in order to wrest the majority from the Democrats.